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Correlation between
District Population Size and Incumbency Tenure Duration
in the U. S. House of Representatives

By Congress and by State
First through 108th Congress

Published: December 7, 2007

Quantitative Historical Analysis #10

An analysis of the data from the first 108 Congresses reveals that there is an ex-tremely high correlation between the population size of congressional districts and incumbency tenure in office for members of the U.S. House of Representatives. It is further argued that there is, in fact, a causal relationship between growing district population size and high reelection rates.   Click here to buy the shirt.
Size-Tenure chart
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